Monday, November 9, 2009

The Coast Is Clear For The Texas Longhorns

Finally-- they can't be denied!

The only entity that can stop the No. 3 Texas Longhorns from reaching the BCS title game is-- the Texas Longhorns. All the Longhorns (9-0) need to do is win their remaining 3 games (all very winnable-- @ Baylor, Kansas, and @ Texas A&M); win the Big 12 championship (most likely against Nebraska, maybe Kansas State) and they are in the national title game.

The BCS mess, which last year denied the Longhorns, is not in play this year anymore. Only a major upset can prevent them from a shot at the national title. And in the world of college football-- that's all you can ask for-- control of your own destiny.

The Longhorns will play the winner of the SEC championship game between No. 1 Florida (9-0) and No. 2 Alabama (9-0), considered by many, the real national championship game. Unfortunately for the Gators and the Crimson Tide, they play in the same conference and only one can survive. Texas knows exactly how the loser is going to feel as they were the victims of the system last year.

After it all gets played out, only 1 undefeated team (between Texas, Florida and Alabama) will remain-- that being the national champion. There is however a strong possibility that there will be 3 other undefeated teams when it's all said and done. The TCU Horned Frogs (No. 4), the Cincinnati Bearcats (No. 5) and the Boise State Broncos (No. 6) are all 9-0, but all 3 have reached a road block. Barring any major upsets-- the Texas, Florida, Alabama triangle is unbreakable.

All TCU, Cincinnati and Boise State can do is keep winning and let the system play itself out. TCU has a big challenge with No. 16 Utah this Saturday and Cincinnati still has 2 tough games [a home game vs. No. 25 West Virgina (7-2) and a road game vs. No. 12 Pittsburgh (8-1)]. Boise State has the easiest remaining schedule, with Idaho (7-3) being their toughest challenge.

If Cincinnati prevails and wins the Big East title, they are guaranteed a BCS Bowl appearance (most likely the Orange Bowl). TCU and Boise State may be fighting for the one BCS spot which has been allocated for schools from the lower-tier conferences. From the looks of it, this may be a spot in the Fiesta Bowl because somehow I get the feeling the Sugar Bowl is salivating for a rematch between LSU and the loser of the Florida-Alabama showdown. The Rose Bowl, as usual will feature the Big Ten champion and the Pac-10 champion and Cincinnati's opponent in the Orange Bowl looks like it's going to be ACC-front runner, the No. 7 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (9-1).

The Fiesta Bowl should do the politically correct thing and have an undefeated TCU play an undefeated Boise State. But I get the feeling that one of the big boys (i.e. Ohio State, if Iowa wins the Big Ten) won't let that happen.

Anyway, Mack Brown, Colt McCoy and the rest of the Longhorns know all too well how it feels to get hosed by the system. But this year the shoe is in another foot and Texas is looking pretty good right now.

And in the crazy world of college football-- TCU, Cincinnati and Boise State may find out the hard way that even perfection is not good enough.

Let the debate continue...

Photos courtesy of the AP

1 comment:

  1. Don't underestimate Texas A&M, that's Texas's oldest and biggest in-state rival. A&M beat Texas two years ago at College Station to knock Texas out of the BCS championship picture. It's unlikely, but Texas has been getting out of the gate slowly in their last few games. If a team jumps on them early, they might have a problem.